First Post :P Anyways, here's a problem I've been pondering.

Discussion in 'General Discussions' started by Hally, Nov 25, 2006.

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  1. Hally

    Hally Level IV

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    This was on a math contest that I wrote a couple days ago, and the answer's bugged me ever since.

    If you flipped 10 coins, what is the probability that two or more consecutive flips will be heads?

    I have 2 different theories, let's see what you guys come up with.

    EDIT: Please JUSTIFY your answer, and don't just post it.
     
  2. MCheezie

    MCheezie Level IV

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    omg I hate the probability things... I can never get them right, but I have a probability simulator on my calculator and I use it in math class all the time :p
     
  3. Hally

    Hally Level IV

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    TI 83/84?

    Our school made us buy those 120 dollar pieces of crap. Staples sells $20 graphing calculators that won't get stolen as much. I've had 3 of the 120 dollar a piece ones stolen =/

    I love probability. I feed of it like blood. *Laughs evilly*. Honestly though, I read this book, 300 pages or something, about the statistics that run our world. Found it really interesting. Bahaha I'm such a dweeb.
     
  4. MCheezie

    MCheezie Level IV

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    I have a TI-83 PLUS Platinum Edition...lmao the got so fancy with their new calculators... platinum *bling bling*
     
  5. bititid0

    bititid0 Level III

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    1:4 is the answer.
     
  6. Hally

    Hally Level IV

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    That's the probability if you flipped just 2 coins, of them both being heads. But we're flipping 10, remember?
     
  7. zteel

    zteel Level II

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    answer:
    1:16
     
  8. bititid0

    bititid0 Level III

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    ooo, i guess i should have read thr problem. its a very good chance then, probably around 4:5. dont feel like finding my calc right now
     
  9. Hally

    Hally Level IV

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    :p Here's the way I see it, correct me if you think I'm wrong.

    The only way to NOT get 2 consecutive flips of EITHER heads or tails is for every other one to be heads or tales. That will have a chance of 1 in 1024, since 1/2^10 is 1/1024. That means that the chance of having 2 in a row of whatever you're calculating is 1023/1024. Then, you want heads, so halve this figure. 511.5/512.
     
  10. zteel

    zteel Level II

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    Just read your edit; justify it.
    Since your flipping 10 coins once, each coin has a possibility of 1/2 of getting heads. Since the question is asking what is the probability that two or more consecutive flips that will be heads, each event is independant, therefore not affecting each other.

    Probability of getting 2 heads from two coins: 1/4
    The probability of getting two/more consecutive head flips = 1/16.
    The probability 511.5/512 is considered wayy to high. I'm no expert though.
     
  11. X Joe Kickass X

    X Joe Kickass X Level IV

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    ooo yay a homework board
    uhhh i suck at probabilty but im good in math :D
    of course im only in grade 8
    sorry i couldnt help :p
     
  12. coolchimpy

    coolchimpy Newbie

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    Wow. I have no clue, sorry.
    But my dad majored in math.
    -scratches head-
    Maybe I got my moms smarts :D
     
  13. chrisw2525

    chrisw2525 Level IV

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    1/2 because theres a 50/50 chance that it could be heads or tails.
     
  14. Hally

    Hally Level IV

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    I don't really think it's too high =/ I think 1 in 16 is far too low. If the probabilty of getting 2 heads in 2 flips is 1:4, wouldn't the probabilty of getting 2 consecutive heads in 10 flips be higher, since you're doing it more times?
     
  15. zteel

    zteel Level II

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    Ah, so that's how you're approaching it.
    No, the probability of getting 2 consecutive heads won't be higher. It doesn't matter if there's 20 coins; as long as you're flipping each coin once, if it's the same question, it's still 1/16.
    The way you're probably thinking, is what's the probability of every coin flipped will have heads 2x consecutively.
    Do you by chance have access to the answer? I'm pretty positive it isn't anywhere near triple digits, and something like 1:16. These questions get even more annoying if it was like, 'what's the etc..... when flipping 10 coins 5 times?'
     
  16. Hally

    Hally Level IV

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    No, I don't have the answer, that's why I'm asking.

    It has to be more than 1/16. I just did the test 5 times, and got it within 5 flips on all 5 of them. Sure, it's not a big sample, but it's more than 1/16 for sure.
     
  17. bititid0

    bititid0 Level III

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    the odds are going to be better than 1:4 because you have more chances to get 2 in a row, not just 2. instead of halving both sides, just half the result side.

    511.5/1024
     
  18. Dragon

    Dragon Level III

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    O this is fun....Wats The square root of 1742681324
     
  19. bititid0

    bititid0 Level III

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    ~4175.507

    but was that relevant?
     
  20. Dragon

    Dragon Level III

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    U got me there bititido !!!
     
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